The crucial feature of any buyout plan is how home value is determined. Hard to believe that five (or is it six now?) months after the flooding, there is no plan in place nor, even harder to believe, any serious and extended discussion of how to determine pre-Katrina home value. How can you determine what the cost of a buyout plan might or might not be without such a determination?
Mind-boggling, but predictable.
When the Baker Bill was being seriously discussed (if anything is seriously discussed in a political context), it didn’t contain any method of determining home value in its original form. Just before its demise, however, this was added to the bill (which I reported back in December):
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(h) FACTORS TO BE CONSIDERED IN DETERMINING EQUITY POSITION OF THE OWNER.-In making any determination concerning the equity position of an owner of property immediately before the area in which such property is located was devastated or significantly distressed by Hurricane Katrina or Hurricane Rita for purposes of subsections (b) and (c), the Corporation shall consider all of the following:
(1) A pre-event appraisal in a verifiable loan record held by a federally insured depository institution, federally insured credit union, or housing-related Government-sponsored enterprise.
(2) The pre-event assessed value on record by a unit of local government that serves as the basis for determining property taxes.
(3) The pre-event fair market value as would be determined under existing federal hazard mitigation programs as authorized under the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act and the National Flood Insurance Act (such as the Hazard Mitigation Program, Pre-Disaster Mitigation Program, and the Flood Mitigation Assistance Program).
(4) Any other valuation of the property under a methodology that the Corporation finds is statistically valid and in broad use.
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Now, the Louisiana Recovery Athority makes public their buyout plan and, once again, it’s all shooting from the hip without some sort of value determination process for home equity. The LRA radio interviewees say, “Yes, we are going to have to work on that.” Yeah, and water is wet, you geniuses you.
Five (six? seven?) months and still waiting for the end of the world.